Zelensky’s proposal for Ukraine’s NATO membership carries substantial implications for regional stability and strategic deterrence against Russian aggression.
NATO membership for Ukraine would literally trigger WWIII…
At a Glance
- Ukrainian President Zelensky proposes NATO membership for Ukraine to secure regions not under Russian control.
- Zelensky suggests waiting to regain Russian-controlled territories if it ensures national security.
- Russia currently controls 18-20% of Ukraine, including Crimea.
- Proposal challenges NATO’s expansion policies amid global tensions.
Strategic Deterrent Against Russian Hostilities
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has proactively proposed NATO membership for territories not occupied by Russia. This proposal aims to end the active phase of the conflict through strategic deterrence. Zelensky emphasizes that NATO’s collective defense capabilities could provide a shield against further aggression. This ideological shift indicates Ukraine’s growing inclination toward Western integration. Zelensky asserts, “If we want to stop the hot stage of the war, we should take under NATO umbrella the territory of Ukraine that we have under our control.”
Ukraine’s President suggests that waiting to reclaim territories currently under Russian control may be worthwhile if it means ensuring the security of the rest of the nation. Russia’s grip on about 18-20% of Ukraine’s territory reflects a significant occupation, including Crimea. This proposal pushes the boundaries of NATO’s traditional roles, potentially reshaping the security framework in Eastern Europe.
Ukrainian president @ZelenskyyUa told @ramsaysky NATO membership would have to be offered to unoccupied parts of the country to end the "hot phase of the war", as long as the NATO invitation itself recognises Ukraine's internationally recognised borders.https://t.co/yqZZ8aFrwm pic.twitter.com/NuburSX6hw
— Sky News (@SkyNews) November 29, 2024
A Theoretical Proposition with Many Implications
NATO’s response to Zelensky’s proposal is yet to be determined. The suggestion remains theoretical with no formal proposals or commitments from NATO to explore this avenue. Zelensky maintains that all of Ukraine should be covered by NATO. However, he has indicated practical protection might initially cover only Kyiv-controlled areas, setting a tricky stage for NATO’s deliberations on expansion. This highlights the dilemma between strategic necessity and political feasibility for NATO amid escalating tensions.
“That’s what we need to do fast, and then Ukraine can get back the other part of its territory diplomatically,” Zelensky said.
Furthermore, discussions in Western circles have considered a “West German model” for NATO membership in a divided country. However, no formal proposals exist. Zelensky acknowledges occupied regions might be temporarily excluded from the NATO deal, emphasizing that any ceding of territory remains unconstitutional without residents’ consent. This reflects Ukraine’s firm stance that occupied territories remain legally Ukrainian, while Russia’s illegal occupation is not up for negotiation.
Ukraine’s Zelensky says Nato guarantees can end ‘hot stage’ of war https://t.co/mVCYG7Mdvo
— ST Foreign Desk (@STForeignDesk) November 29, 2024
Potential Outcomes and Global Impact
NATO membership for Ukraine could potentially thaw the icy relations between Russia and Ukraine. Zelensky has expressed readiness to engage with US President-elect Donald Trump regarding future proposals, intending to send a delegation for further discussions. This openness to dialogue signifies Ukraine’s strategic adaptability in facing evolving geopolitical challenges, including dialogues with potential new players on the global stage.
The complex geopolitical landscape surrounding Ukraine’s NATO membership indicates a broader challenge to NATO’s role in the Eastern European security architecture. Zelensky’s proposition compels NATO to reassess its expansion policies as it contends with heightened global tensions. As this scenario unfolds, the balance sought by Ukraine between military readiness and diplomatic negotiations could redefine regional peace efforts.
Remember this, though: if Ukraine joins NATO and the Russian strikes continue, the rest of NATO will be bound by their commitments to the alliance and will be forced to attack Russia.
Is Zelensky asking the West to start WWIII on his behalf?