Polls Show Trump Holds Strong Lead In Key 2024 State

Two surveys show that former President Donald Trump has a 38-point edge over his closest challenger in the caucus field and a 10-point lead over President Joe Biden in a hypothetical general election in the Hawkeye State.

The margin of error for the 425 likely GOP caucusgoers surveyed by Civivqs between October 6-10 is 6.1 percentage points.

Trump’s approval rating among “likely Republican Caucus goers in Iowa” is 55%, up 4% since September, according to a poll published by Civiqs and Iowa State University on Thursday.

Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) is in second place with 17% support, up 3% from the Civiqs/Iowa State University GOP caucus poll conducted in September.

Nikki Haley, a former governor of South Carolina for the Republican Party, also has double-digit support, at 11%, followed by businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, at 5%, and Sen. Tim Scott, at 4%.

Next in line are two-percenters in former New Jersey governor Chris Christie and businessman Ryan Binkley, followed by one-percenters in former vice president Mike Pence and North Dakota governor Doug Burgum.

DeSantis received the most percentage of respondents’ second-choice votes (22%) in the poll. Eighteen percent of respondents’ second choice is Haley, while sixteen percent consider Ramaswamy in this category. While 8 percent of voters choose Trump as their top choice, 13 percent consider Scott their second best option.

Emerson College polling issued their poll on Friday morning, showing Trump with a 10-point lead over Biden in a possible general election matchup. Among 464 Iowa voters, 44% chose the 45th president, and 34% chose Biden. Twelve percent of those polled would vote for someone else, while eleven percent are still uncertain.

Emerson College polled voters to see whether there was anything “the candidates could do or say in the next several months that would make you choose not to support” Biden or Trump.

Only about 20% of each group says they could do or say something to sway the other’s opinion. While only 41% of Biden voters stated the same thing, 57% of Trump voters indicated that Trump could not do or say anything that would make them not support him.