A new survey out of Quinnipiac University shows that, in the general election contest in 2024, former president Donald Trump would be trailing behind current president Joe Biden by six percentage points.
A little over a month ago, Trump had a slim lead over Biden in the presidential race, with 47% of the vote.
On Wednesday, Quinnipiac announced its most current survey findings, days after a court jury found that novelist E. Jean Carroll should receive $83.3 million in damages from Trump. Carroll said he raped her over 30 years ago in 2019, and the jury agreed that her credibility as a journalist took a hit because of it.
The percentage of males supporting Trump has remained relatively unchanged from December, at 53%, while the rate of men against him has remained at 42%.
According to the Quinnipiac University study, Women voters significantly impact Biden’s current 50% to 44% edge against the former president.
Biden had 58% of the female vote compared to Trump’s 38%. The president’s lead widened in December, rising from 53% to 41%.
The backing of female voters in the past several weeks has propelled Biden from a statistical tie with Trump to a narrow lead.
Even among independents, support for Biden has grown; 52% have said they will vote for the president. Compared to December, that’s a 6-point gain.
Quinnipiac found that former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley has 47% support in a made-up two-person race compared to Biden’s 42%.
Among people who did not support either candidate but had cast a ballot, Haley fared better than Biden, while Trump was in last place.
Still, in this hypothetical five-person contest, Haley gets herself a spot. Haley has gotten 29% of the vote, while Biden has gotten 36%. Among the candidates, 21% have backed independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 3% have backed independent Cornel West, and 2% have supported Green Party candidate Jill Stein.
Biden has 39% of the vote, Trump 37%, RFK Jr. 14%, West 3%, and Stein 2% in an imaginary five-person contest where Trump is still a contender.
From January 25th to the 29th, 1,650 self-identified registered voters participated in a survey run by Quinnipiac University. There is a 2.4 percentage point margin of error.
